Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME.US):First take,2Q24 in~line, healthy music growth and record high GPM of 42%; Buy
Goldman Sachs· 2024-08-14 10:59
报告行业投资评级 - 报告给予Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)股票"Buy"评级 [11] 报告的核心观点 - Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)2024年收入基本符合预期,非公认会计准则下的营业利润和净利润略有超预期 [1] - Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)毛利率同比和环比均有所提升,达到42%的较高水平,主要得益于在线音乐服务的规模效应,包括订阅用户净增加350万、ARPU环比改善至人民币10.7元以及广告收入增长 [9] - Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)付费用户增长势头持续,环比净增加350万,ARPU也实现环比改善,但幅度较缓 [9] - Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)保持了较为严格的费用管控,总运营费用环比基本持平,仅增长1% [9] 财务数据总结 - 2024年Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)收入为人民币71.6亿元,同比下降2% [7][8] - 2024年Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)在线音乐收入为人民币54.24亿元,同比增长28% [7][8] - 2024年Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)付费用户达到1.17亿,同比增长18% [7][8] - 2024年Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)ARPU为人民币10.7元,同比持平 [7][8] - 2024年Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)调整后净利润为人民币18.73亿元,同比增长22% [7][8]
ON Holding (ONON.US)Demand trends remain strong amidst short~term supply constraints in the US; TP to $50, Buy
Goldman Sachs· 2024-08-14 10:57
13 August 2024 | 9:41PM BST 2131d4eaf4cb4d50b1d51c8af07b64b4 ON Holding (ONON) Buy Demand trends remain strong amidst short-term supply constraints in the US; TP to $50, Buy ONON 12m Price Target: $50.00 Price: $39.55 Upside: 26.4% On Holding reported 2Q24 adj. EBITDA of CHF 90.8mn, driven by net sales of CHF 567.7mn, +27.8% yoy and +29.4% cFX. Group gross margin came in at 59.9%, +40bps yoy, with adj. EBITDA margins of 16%. Net working capital -5.3% yoy at the end of 2Q24 (+14.3% relative to 4Q23). By geog ...
ON Holding (ONON.US)First Take: 2Q24 adj. EBITDA +5% beat; FY24 guidance reiterated
Goldman Sachs· 2024-08-14 10:57
13 August 2024 | 10:54AM BST 2131d4eaf4cb4d50b1d51c8af07b64b4 ON Holding (ONON): First Take: 2Q24 adj. EBITDA +5% beat; FY24 guidance reiterated News: On Holding reported 2Q24 adj. EBITDA of CHF 90.8mn, +5.3% above FactSet consensus of CHF 86.2mn, driven by net sales of CHF 567.7mn, +27.8% yoy and +29.4% cFX (consensus CHF 562mn, +26% yoy and Visible Alpha Consensus Data +30.1% cFX). Group gross margin came in at 59.9%, +40bps yoy (FactSet consensus +60bps yoy to 60.1%), with adj. EBITDA margins of 16% (con ...
Nu Holdings (NU.US):2Q24 First Take,Beat on better cost of risk and revenues
Goldman Sachs· 2024-08-14 10:56
报告行业投资评级 报告给予Nu Holdings (NU)股票"买入"评级,12个月目标价为17美元,较当前价格有33.8%的上行空间。[16] 报告的核心观点 1) 2024年第二季度,Nu Holdings的净利润为4.87亿美元,同比增长117%,超出分析师预期15%。经常性净利润也增长27%,超出预期16%。[1] 2) 贷款组合虽然受汇率波动影响出现下降,但在汇率中性基础上仍保持8%的健康增长。净息差和风险调整后净息差也继续扩大。[2] 3) 贷款损失拨备低于预期,主要是由于逾期贷款率下降所致。资产质量改善有利于未来的贷款增长。[3] 4) 墨西哥和哥伦比亚业务快速发展,存款分别增至33亿美元和2亿美元。但巴西存款略有下降。[10] 5) 费用方面,营业费用增长5%,略高于预期,但效率指标仍有所改善。客户数量增加520万,达到1.045亿。[11] 分部总结 财务表现 1) 2024年第二季度,Nu Holdings的净利润为4.87亿美元,同比增长117%,超出分析师预期15%。经常性净利润也增长27%,超出预期16%。[1] 2) 贷款组合虽然受汇率波动影响出现下降,但在汇率中性基础上仍保持8%的健康增长。净息差和风险调整后净息差也继续扩大。[2] 3) 贷款损失拨备低于预期,主要是由于逾期贷款率下降所致。资产质量改善有利于未来的贷款增长。[3] 业务发展 4) 墨西哥和哥伦比亚业务快速发展,存款分别增至33亿美元和2亿美元。但巴西存款略有下降。[10] 5) 费用方面,营业费用增长5%,略高于预期,但效率指标仍有所改善。客户数量增加520万,达到1.045亿。[11]
NCR Atleos (NATL): 2Q First Take: Revenue, margins and EPS at or above consensus, with ATMaaS strategy continuing to advance
Goldman Sachs· 2024-08-14 10:56
13 August 2024 | 2:44PM PDT NCR Atleos (NATL): 20 First Take: Revenue, margins and EPS at or above consensus, with ATMaaS strategy continuing to advance We expect investors to have a neutral-to-positive reaction to NCR Atleos' 2Q 2024 earnings release, its second as a standalone public entity, with EBITDA margins and EPS surpassing consensus expectations, revenue coming in line with the Street and the full-year quide reaffirmed for these metrics. Revenue increased 4% y/y and recurring revenue grew 9%, while ...
Mosaic Co. (MOS.US) Management meeting highlights Phosphate market optimism and cost initiatives; Buy
Goldman Sachs· 2024-08-14 10:56
13 August 2024 | 5:05PM EDT Mosaic Co. (MOS): Management meeting highlights Phosphate market optimism and cost initiatives; Buy We hosted a virtual meeting with MOS management today (8/13), including CEO Bruce Bodine, CFO Clint Freeland, and EVP of Commercial Jenny Wang, Overall, we come away encouraged by management's optimism on Phosphate (P) markets and internal production/cost initiatives as we head into the 2H. The discussion focused primarily on MOS' P operations, where management emphasized tight glo ...
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd. (MLCO.US)2Q24 results inline: Margin slips on higher costs after stepping upreinvestment; EBITDA to trend more inline with GGR ahead; Buy
Goldman Sachs· 2024-08-14 10:56
14 August 2024 | 7:11AM HKT Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd. (MLCO) Buy 2024 results inline: Margin slips on higher costs after stepping up reinvestment; EBITDA to trend more inline with GGR ahead; Buy MLCO 12m Price Target: $9.70 Price: $5, 17 Upside: 87.6% Asia Leisure ights into Casinos, Airlines, Duty Free Hainan, Hotels, OTA & the Rise of Leisure Simon Cheung, CFA +852-2978-6102 | simon.cheung@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Alpha Wang +852-2978-1984 | alpha.wang@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. ...
Mercury Systems Inc. (MRCY.US):First Take,Qtr improved sequentially; guidance implies a transition window for foreseeable future
Goldman Sachs· 2024-08-14 10:56
报告行业投资评级 - 报告给予Mercury Systems Inc.公司"Sell"评级,12个月目标价为$21,较当前股价下跌38.2% [14] 报告的核心观点 - Mercury Systems公司2024财年第四季度收入、EBITDA和自由现金流超出市场预期,但全年业绩仍低于原先预期 [2] - 公司2025财年预计收入持平,调整后EBITDA利润率将达到低个位数,未来将逐步实现收入高于行业增长、调整后EBITDA利润率达到低至中20%的目标 [2][7] 分组1 - 2024财年第四季度调整后每股收益为$0.23,超出市场预期$0.08 [7][13] - 2024财年第四季度收入为$249百万,高于预期$243百万 [10][11] - 2024财年第四季度调整后EBITDA利润率为12.5%,高于预期8.0% [10][11] 分组2 - 公司未来一年内将处于转型期,收入和利润率将保持相对平稳 [2] - 公司长期目标是实现收入高于行业增长、调整后EBITDA利润率达到低至中20%的水平 [2][7] - 分析师给予公司12个月目标价$21,较当前股价下跌38.2%,维持"Sell"评级 [14]
CAE Inc. (CAE.US): F1Q25 First Take: mixed results
Goldman Sachs· 2024-08-14 10:51
报告行业投资评级 - CAE Inc.的股票评级为Buy [1][2] 报告的核心观点 - CAE公司第一季度的业绩是混合的,收入超过预期2%,但总分部EBIT低于预期,因为民航业务利润率较低 [1][2] - 民航业务的利用率仍然很高,本季度的订单增长率为1.31倍,需求保持强劲 [1][2] - 国防业务的利润率创下一年多来的最高水平,并拥有一个价值110亿美元的25年合同的50%股权 [1][3] - 公司下调了2025财年民航业务的利润率指引 [3] 分部总结 民航业务 - 销售额同比增长9%,平均利用率为76% [2] - 本季度交付8架全飞行模拟器,去年同期为6架 [2] - 订单增长率为1.31倍 [1][2] - 利润率为18.1%,低于预期的19.8% [2] 国防业务 - 利润率创一年多来的最高水平 [1][3] - 拥有一个价值110亿美元的25年合同的50%股权 [1][3] - 预计2025财年收入将以低单位数至中单位数的幅度增长,利润率为6-7% [3] 其他 - 公司下调了2025财年民航业务的利润率指引 [3] - 预计2025财年资本支出将处于此前发布范围的低端 [3]
Boeing Co. (BA.US): July aircraft order & delivery report
Goldman Sachs· 2024-08-14 10:50
报告行业投资评级 - 报告未给出明确的行业投资评级 报告的核心观点 - 7月份波音公司新接订单72架,取消1架,ASC 606调整1架,净订单增加72架 [3] - 7月份波音公司交付飞机43架,其中737-MAX 31架,787 6架,交付量较6月有所上升 [25] - 即使假设未来新订单增长较为温和,波音公司目前的订单量也足以支撑未来几年的生产计划,737机型订单覆盖约8年,787和777机型分别约7年和11年 [12][13] 737机型 - 7月份737机型新接订单127架,取消1架,ASC 606调整34架,净订单增加160架 [9] - 7月份737机型交付31架,较6月的34架有所下降 [26][27] - 即使不考虑ASC 606调整,737机型订单也足以支撑未来8年的生产计划 [12][13] 787机型 - 7月份787机型新接订单3架,无取消,ASC 606调整1架,净订单增加4架 [9] - 7月份787机型交付6架,较6月的3架有所上升 [25][28][29] - 即使不考虑ASC 606调整,787机型订单也足以支撑未来7年的生产计划 [12][13] 777机型 - 7月份777机型无新接订单,无取消,无ASC 606调整 [9] - 7月份777机型交付无数据 [20] - 即使不考虑ASC 606调整,777机型订单也足以支撑未来11年的生产计划 [12][13]