证券研究报告 港股通 老铺黄金 (6181 HK) 随着老铺黄金品牌势能持续提升，线下同店销售快速增长，2024 年公司同 店收入同比增长超 120.9%。2025 年以来，据久谦数据，老铺 4 家样本店 1-5 月累计店均销售额为 4.5 亿元，同店增速达 170%，展现出强劲的增长 势头。同时，公司通过线上渠道覆盖未铺设门店的区域，根据久谦数据，2025 年 1-5 月，老铺黄金天猫与京东旗舰店累计实现销售额 12.8 亿元，同比增 长约 333%，线上渠道正逐步成为重要增长引擎之一，且我们预计线上渠道 整体费用率较低，线上收入快速增长亦有助于公司净利率提升。 盈利预测与估值 国内外加速开店，高成长势能强劲 | 华泰研究 | | | 动态点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 7 月 | 01日│中国香港 | 可选消费 | 目标价(港币): | 1,200.00 | 近期，老铺黄金新加坡滨海湾金沙店与上海 IFC 店分别于 6 月 21 日及 28 日正式开业，标志着品牌在国内外高端核心商圈的渠道拓展加速 ...

GC Tech: Conant Optical (2276.HK): AI / AR glasses customized lenses with lightness; new capacity expansion to capture growing demand We met Conant Optical's (2276.HK, Not Covered) management in Hong Kong recently. Conant Optical is a leading China resin lenses manufacturer, and is expanding its business from the spectacle lens market to AI / AR glasses to capture a larger addressable market. Overall, management expects to see sustained growth in the company's existing core business, and is positive on the ...

更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要 关注公众号：水木Alpha 29 June 2025 | 3:25PM HKT China Resources Pharmaceuticals (3320.HK): China Healthcare Corporate Day 2025 — Key Takeaways: Soft growth in 1H amid Presenter: Yulin Chen - Head of Investor Relations Bottom line: Management noted soft growth in 1H due to challenging industry environment and toned down previous guidance of double-digit y/y sales growth for 2025 pending recovery situation in 2H. Cash collection remained under pressure. Key Takeaways Soft growth in 1H: management to ...

ab 27 June 2025 Global Research China Healthcare Expert call takeaways: JDH, a rising competitor in drug retail O2O Meituan: a clear leader in drug retail O2O We invited an ex-Meituan manager of the drug retail business to discuss the pharmaceutical retail O2O (online-to-offline, or quick-commerce) market. According to the expert, Meituan was one of the first to start the O2O business in 2013 and is now China's largest O2O provider owing to its delivery capability and dispatch system advantages. To expand o ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the report is "Overweight" [3][16]. Core Insights - The report highlights the technology and leadership position of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd (CATL) in the global electric vehicle (EV) and energy storage system (ESS) battery markets, emphasizing its ability to maintain resilient profits despite pricing pressures in the supply chain [11][16]. - The price target for CATL is set at Rmb370.00 for June 2026, based on a projected P/E ratio of 20x for 2026E-27E, which is at the lower end of the company's historical trading range due to slower industry growth compared to earlier stages [12][17]. Financial Estimates - For FY25E, net sales are projected at Rmb404,942 million with a year-over-year growth of 12% [5]. - The gross profit for FY25E is estimated at Rmb99,220 million, maintaining a gross margin of 25% [5]. - The adjusted net income for FY25E is forecasted to be Rmb61,861 million, reflecting a net profit growth of 22% year-over-year [5][20]. Performance Drivers - The report identifies various performance drivers, including market factors contributing 27%, regional factors at 23%, and macroeconomic factors at 13% [13]. - The correlation of CATL's performance with the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index is noted at 0.62 over six months and 0.53 over one year [13]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides valuation metrics, indicating an expected revenue growth of 19.7% for FY26E and an EBITDA margin of 25.5% for the same year [14]. - The adjusted P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 21.8 in FY24A to 12.4 in FY27E, reflecting a more favorable valuation over time [14][20].

V i e w p o i n t | 27 Jun 2025 05:08:50 ET │ 26 pages China K12 Educational Services U/G EDU, D/G TAL; Initiate Pair Trade to OW EDU's K12 Operating Leverage vs. UW TAL's Content Solutions Drag CITI'S TAKE We are initiating a pair trade to capitalize on the diverging operational trajectories and valuation dynamics within China's K-12 education sector as we upgrade EDU to Buy (TP US$77/HK$60, +54%/+54%) and downgrade TAL to Neutral (TP US$11.54, -14%). We expect the earnings momentum gap between the two com ...

纺织服装 波司登（03998.HK） 买入-A(维持) 来源：最闻，山西证券研究所 分析师： 王冯 执业登记编码：S0760522030003 邮箱：wangfeng@sxzq.com 孙萌 执业登记编码：S0760523050001 业绩高质量增长，品牌羽绒服业务彰显经营韧性 公司近一年市场表现 来源：最闻，山西证券研究所 | 年 市场数据：2025 | 6 | 月 日 30 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港元）： | | | 4.640 | | 年内最高/最低（港元）： | | | 5.140/3.460 | | 总股本（亿股）： | | | 115.44/115.44 | | 流通市值（亿港元）： | | | 535.65 | 2025 年 6 月 30 日 公司研究/公司快报 事件描述 6 月 26 日，波司登发布 2024/25 财年年度业绩。报告期内，公司实现营收 259.02 亿元，同比增长 11.6%，实现归母净利润 35.14 亿元，同比增长 14.3%。 公司宣派末期股息每股普通股 22.0 港仙，全年派息率 84.1%。 事件点评 总市值（亿港元 ...

上 市 公 司 2025 年 06 月 30 日 赤子城科技 (09911) ——社交先锋，淘金中东 报告原因：首次覆盖 买入（首次评级） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 06 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港币） | 9.83 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 8678.3 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 11.50/2.50 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 138.96 | | 流通 H 股（百万股） | 1,412.18 | | 汇率（人民币/港币） | 1.0966 | 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -43% 457% 07/02 08/02 09/02 10/02 11/02 12/02 01/02 02/02 03/02 04/02 05/02 06/02 资料来源：Bloomberg HSCEI 赤子城科技 公 相关研究 证券分析师 林起贤 A0230519060002 linqx@swsresearch.com 赵航 A0230522100002 zhaohang@swsresearch.com 联系人 赵航 (8621)23297818× zhaohan ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][7][17] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately RMB 135.1 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 35% compared to RMB 100.1 billion in the first half of 2024 [7] - The growth in profit is attributed to higher sales prices and increased sales volume of aluminum alloy and alumina products, along with a decrease in coal prices leading to lower electricity costs [7] - The company has a high dividend yield of approximately 11%, with a dividend payout ratio exceeding 60% for the year 2024, indicating strong long-term investment value [7] - The supply-demand dynamics in the aluminum market are favorable, with domestic production capacity nearing its limit and demand from sectors like new energy vehicles expected to grow [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 133,624 million - 2024: RMB 156,169 million - 2025E: RMB 152,307 million - 2026E: RMB 158,018 million - 2027E: RMB 158,736 million [6][8] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: RMB 11,461 million - 2024: RMB 22,372 million - 2025E: RMB 22,419 million - 2026E: RMB 24,585 million - 2027E: RMB 25,293 million [6][8] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be RMB 2.41 for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 6.8 [6][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][35] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue growth of 12% and a net profit growth of 14% for the fiscal year 2024/25, despite challenges from rising raw material costs and a warm winter [1][8] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio of 84%, supported by strong cash flow [2][3] - The company is focusing on product innovation and channel optimization to drive growth, with new product categories such as sun protection clothing and lightweight down jackets contributing to sales [2][28] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, the company reported a revenue of 25.9 billion yuan, up 11.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.51 billion yuan, up 14.3% year-on-year [1][8] - The gross margin decreased by 2.3 percentage points to 57.7%, primarily due to changes in channel and product mix, as well as fluctuations in raw material costs [1][17] - The operating profit margin improved by 0.3 percentage points to 19.2%, aided by a reduction in selling expenses [1][18] Business Segments - Brand down jackets generated a revenue of 21.67 billion yuan, with a growth of 11.0%, while the OEM business saw a significant increase of 26.4% to 3.37 billion yuan [13][14] - The women's clothing segment faced a decline of 20.6%, with revenue dropping to 650 million yuan [13][14] - The diversified clothing segment grew by 2.9% to 210 million yuan [13] Inventory and Cash Flow Management - The inventory increased by 23.6% year-on-year, influenced by raw material stocking, with an average inventory turnover period of 118 days, up by 3 days [2][26] - The company maintains a strong cash flow with a net cash ratio of 1.13, supporting its robust dividend policy [2][3] Growth Strategies - The company is enhancing its product categories and brand appeal through innovation and collaboration, targeting new customer segments [28][32] - Online sales for brand down jackets grew by 9.4%, while offline stores saw a net increase of 100 self-operated stores and 153 franchise stores [2][32] Future Outlook - The company expects net profits for FY2026 to FY2028 to be 3.91 billion, 4.30 billion, and 4.73 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 11.2% and 10% [3][35] - The target price is maintained at 5.1 to 5.5 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 14-15x for FY2026 [3][35]