Kelly Liu Real Estate Weekly Outlook U.S. equity markets posted mixed performance this past week, while benchmark interest rates dipped to four-month lows as a lukewarm start to corporate earnings season and mixed economic data reinforced expectations that the Fed will begin cutting rates by September. Another stunning twist in a wild month of U.S. politics, President Biden announced that he would not seek reelection following weeks of mounting pressure from Democrat party leadership, who subsequently t ...

Richard Drury Introduction I often think about stocks that I am confident will continue to perform well over the long-term. Ones whose businesses remain strong and are likely to see solid growth over the next decade or so. Even through uncertain periods in the economy. But some businesses remain resilient during turbulent times, and are likely here to stay. This is because of their recession-resistant business models, strong fundamentals, and exceptional management teams that keep them operating at hig ...

文章核心观点 - 美国消费者的储蓄和支出情况正在发生变化 [3][6][7] - 大型科技股和小型股之间出现了明显的轮动 [13][14][17] - 作者最近投资组合中的几只个股表现良好 [22][27][31] 根据目录分别总结 美国消费者状况 - 高收入群体在疫情期间储蓄了大量资金 [3][4][5] - 低收入群体在疫情期间也有较大幅度的储蓄增加,主要得益于政府发放的大额刺激支票 [6] - 2022年下半年及2023年,低收入群体开始大量消费积累的储蓄,导致信用卡债务快速上升 [7][8][10] - 信用卡逾期率已经接近金融危机时的高位,未来可能进一步上升 [11][12] 市场轮动 - 自6月CPI数据公布以来,大型科技股和小型股出现了明显的轮动 [13][14] - 大型科技股的资金流出,小型股的资金流入 [15][17] - 历史上经历过高集中度的市场通常会出现"平均股票"的多年超额收益 [18][19] 作者投资组合表现 - 作者持有的Agree Realty (ADC)和Cullen/Frost Bankers (CFR)等个股近期表现良好 [22][23][27][30] - 作者在6月初推荐的InvenTrust Properties (IVT)也取得了不错的超额收益 [31][32] 新增个股分析 - 生命科学地产公司Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE)虽然面临行业低迷,但基本面仍然较好 [35][36][40][42] - 人力资源公司Robert Half Inc. (RHI)受临时工需求下降影响,短期内业绩可能继续承压,但长期来看仍有投资价值 [43][48][51][56]

财务数据和关键指标变化 - 第二季度核心FFO为每股1.03美元,同比增长5.7% [31] - 第二季度AFFO每股为1.04美元,同比增长6.4% [31] - 公司已将2024年全年AFFO每股指引范围提高至4.11美元至4.14美元,中值代表4.4%的同比增长 [33] 各条业务线数据和关键指标变化 - 第二季度公司投资约2.03亿美元收购70处高质量零售净租赁物业 [14] - 收购物业加权平均资本化率为7.7%,同比增加90个基点,加权平均租期超过9年 [16] - 投资级零售商占收购租金总额的近60% [16] - 上半年公司共投资3.43亿美元收购102处零售净租赁物业,覆盖37个州和24个零售行业 [17] - 第二季度公司启动5个开发和DFP项目,完成4个开发和DFP项目 [18] - 上半年公司共有25个项目完工或在建,涉及1.01亿美元承诺资本 [19] 各个市场数据和关键指标变化 - 公司在第二季度出售10处物业,总收益近3700万美元,加权平均资本化率为6.4% [20] - 这些出售物业主要为非核心资产,租户多为非投资级或未评级运营商 [20] 公司战略和发展方向及行业竞争 - 公司将继续保持谨慎的资本配置和严格的承销标准 [13] - 公司将积极拓展三大外部增长平台,包括收购、开发和DFP [14][18][19] - 公司认为大型连锁便利店和折扣零售将是未来5-10年增长最快的行业领域之一 [66][67] - 公司将继续减少对沃尔格林的投资,而增加对CVS的投资 [57][58][59] - 公司认为传统药店正面临着来自便利店、大型连锁店和电商的竞争压力 [121][122][123][124][125][126][127][128][129] 管理层对经营环境和未来前景的评论 - 管理层表示第二季度公司业绩强劲,资本市场交易增强了公司的坚固资产负债表 [8][9][10][11] - 管理层认为当前宏观环境和资本市场波动较大,给公司的投资活动带来了不确定性 [39][104][105] - 管理层对公司未来前景保持乐观,并将继续保持谨慎的资本配置策略 [12][13] 其他重要信息 - 公司第二季度末资产负债表净债务/经常性EBITDA比率为4.1倍,流动性约17亿美元 [28][29] - 公司已将2024年全年收购指引从6亿美元提高至约7亿美元 [12] - 公司第二季度末物业出租率达99.8%,创历史新高 [23] 问答环节重要的提问和回答 问题1 **Ronald Kamdem提问** 询问公司第四季度收购指引大幅提高的原因 [38][39][40][41] **Joey Agree回答** 公司第三季度收购管线已基本确定,第四季度收购将受益于公司改善的资本成本 [39][40][41] 问题2 **Smedes Rose提问** 询问公司是否看到交易活动有所恢复 [46][47][48][49] **Joey Agree回答** 公司看到市场流动性有所改善,但仍保持谨慎态度 [47][48] 问题3 **Mitch Germain提问** 询问公司对CVS和沃尔格林的投资策略差异 [56][57][58][59] **Joey Agree回答** 公司看好CVS的实体店业务,但对沃尔格林的实体店业务持谨慎态度 [57][58][59]

Agree Realty (ADC) reported $152.58 million in revenue for the quarter ended June 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 17.5%. EPS of $1.04 for the same period compares to $0.42 a year ago.The reported revenue represents a surprise of +1.50% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $150.33 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being $1.03, the EPS surprise was +0.97%.While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Stre ...

Agree Realty (ADC) came out with quarterly funds from operations (FFO) of $1.04 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.03 per share. This compares to FFO of $0.98 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an FFO surprise of 0.97%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this real estate investment trust would post FFO of $1.01 per share when it actually produced FFO of $1.03, delivering a surprise of 1.98%.Over the last four quarters ...

Exhibit 99.1 1 32301 Woodward Ave. Royal Oak, MI 48073 www.agreerealty.com FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Agree Realty Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2024 Results Increases 2024 AFFO Per Share Guidance to $4.11 to $4.14; Raises 2024 Acquisition Guidance to Approximately $700 Million; Receives Commitments to Expand Credit Facility to $1.25 Billion & Extend Maturity Until 2029 Royal Oak, MI, July 23, 2024 -- Agree Realty Corporation (NYSE: ADC) (the "Company") today announced results for the quarter ended June 30, ...

Table of Contents UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q Mark One ☒ Quarterly Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2024, or ☐ Transition Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the transition period from to Commission File Number 001-12928 AGREE REALTY CORPORATION (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) | --- | --- | |----------- ...

8vFanI/iStock via Getty Images Introduction Since the latest CPI report, the market has been enthusiastic about interest rate cuts in the near future. One sector that has reacted positively to the news is one that I have been beating the drum on for over a year, the REIT sector (XLRE). With higher for longer interest rates negatively impacting their share prices the past two years, many were trading at or below their pandemic lows, creating a great buying opportunity for investors. Additionally, this al ...

文章核心观点 - Agree Realty和Rexford Industrial是两家提供高于标准普尔500指数两倍以上股息收益的股票 [1][2] - Agree Realty是一家快速扩张的净租赁房地产投资信托基金(REIT),过去10年股息年增长率接近6% [3][4] - Rexford Industrial是一家专注于投资加州南部工业地产的REIT,过去10年股息年增长率接近17% [6][8] 行业总结 Agree Realty - 公司从100多处资产快速扩张到2,150处,主要投资于单一租户零售物业 [3][4] - 公司专注于一个规模大且流动性强的市场,未来仍有较大增长空间 [5] - 公司目前股息收益率较高,处于历史高位 [5] Rexford Industrial - 公司专注投资加州南部工业地产,该地区是全美最大工业市场之一 [6][7] - 该地区供给受限,公司能够持续提升租金和资产价值 [7][9] - 公司未来5年内有望将净运营收入提升47% [9] - 公司股息增长迅速,估值溢价合理 [8]