Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD Company Limited (1211 HK) with a target price of HKD 379.22, indicating a potential upside of 28.5% from the current closing price of HKD 295.00 [1][7]. Core Insights - BYD's automotive gross margin exceeded expectations in Q3 2024, driven by improved margins in the automotive business and a decline in lithium carbonate prices. The company's net profit for Q3 2024 reached RMB 11.6 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 28.1% [1][2]. - The report highlights that the increase in operating expenses (selling, administrative, and R&D) in Q3 2024 was significant, with respective increases of 27.8%, 20.1%, and 52.0%, attributed to higher spending on premium models and smart technology [1][2]. - The report anticipates continued sales growth in Q4 2024, projecting quarterly sales to rise to 1.3 to 1.5 million units, supported by the ongoing rollout of the DMI 5.0 model [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue for BYD is projected to grow from RMB 602.3 billion in 2023 to RMB 764.8 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.0% [3][8]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 30.0 billion in 2023 to RMB 41.1 billion in 2024, with a significant year-on-year growth of 36.9% [3][8]. - The report also notes an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2024-2026 by 14%, 19.4%, and 23.3% respectively, reflecting higher sales expectations and contributions from premium models and overseas markets [2][3].
比亚迪股份:3Q24汽车毛利率超预期,但三费环比高增;静待高端车型和出口贡献