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宏发股份:深度报告:继电器龙头地位稳固,出海+品类扩张打开第二增长曲线
600885Hongfa(600885) 信达证券·2024-10-31 00:34

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, Hongfa Technology Co., Ltd. (600885.SH) [1]. Core Insights - Hongfa Technology maintains a strong position as a global leader in the relay industry, with a market share of 21.6% in 2023. The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a 8.38% year-on-year increase in revenue to 72.31 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, and a 19.59% increase in net profit to 8.44 billion yuan [1]. - The company benefits from the growing demand in the new energy and electrification sectors, with a well-rounded product portfolio that includes high-voltage DC relays, automotive relays, power relays, and industrial relays [1][2]. - The company's strategy of expanding product categories and entering new markets is expected to drive future growth, particularly in low-voltage electrical products and other electrical components [1][2]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Leadership in Relay Industry - Hongfa Technology has established itself as a leader in the relay industry since its founding in 1984, with a focus on quality and market share [5][64]. - The company has undergone three phases of development, with significant milestones including the establishment of overseas subsidiaries and a shift to a joint-stock company structure [64][65]. 2. Stable Profitability and Business Expansion - The company's revenue has consistently increased, with a notable rise in global market share and expansion into overseas markets, particularly in the new energy vehicle sector [70][72]. - The gross margin for relay products was reported at 39% in 2023, indicating strong profitability compared to other product lines [72]. 3. Industry Growth Driven by New Energy - The relay industry is experiencing robust growth, particularly due to the electrification of vehicles and the expansion of renewable energy applications [77][81]. - The demand for high-voltage DC relays is expected to rise significantly as the market for electric vehicles grows, with the company positioned to benefit from this trend [85][89]. 4. "Internal Growth + External Expansion" Strategy - The company emphasizes quality in its operations and is expanding its product offerings through both internal development and acquisitions [100][101]. - Hongfa Technology is actively pursuing international expansion, with plans to establish manufacturing facilities in key markets such as Germany and Indonesia [109][110]. 5. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Future revenue projections for the company are optimistic, with expected revenues of 96.39 billion yuan in 2024, growing at a rate of 14.4% [111]. - The projected net profits for 2024-2026 are 16.67 billion yuan, 19.31 billion yuan, and 21.95 billion yuan, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [113].