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Zacks Industry Outlook Deckers, Tapestry, Abercrombie & Fitch and Torrid
ZACKS· 2024-11-25 15:15
文章核心观点 - 尽管零售-服装和鞋类行业面临消费者信心波动、通胀压力和运营成本上升等挑战,但通过产品创新、全渠道能力提升、资本投资和客户拓展等积极措施,行业参与者仍有望保持竞争力并实现持续成功 [2][3][4][5] 行业概述 - 零售-服装和鞋类行业包括服装、鞋类和配饰的制造、分销和零售,受时尚趋势、消费者支出习惯、经济状况和季节性因素影响 [6] - 行业内公司从全球巨头到国内品牌,各瞄准特定市场细分 [6] - 行业既需持续产品创新、品牌独特性和有效营销以吸引客户,也面临激烈竞争和价格敏感性 [7] - 技术进步和在线零售兴起改变了行业,消费者越来越追求便利和个性化购物体验 [7] 行业趋势 - 软需求可能影响收入:通胀压力和地缘政治紧张局势正在影响消费者支出,这是零售业的关键驱动力。根据商务部最新报告,10月份服装和配饰商店销售额环比下降0.2%,反映出该行业面临的压力 [8] - 利润率压力将持续:零售服装和鞋类行业竞争激烈,公司通过定价、产品供应和上市速度争夺市场份额。许多公司大力投资数字基础设施和提升交付能力,这些举措推动了销售,但也带来了巨大成本 [9] - 品牌强化和资本纪律:行业参与者越来越注重通过创新产品、个性化体验和增强数字和数据分析能力来加深消费者参与。通过有针对性的营销、战略收购、创新和合作来加强品牌组合,预计将继续支持该行业的增长 [11] - 多元化和数字化是增长的关键:随着消费者购物行为的变化,公司正在整合实体店和在线业务。他们正在开发全渠道能力,实施忠诚度和营销计划,并增强供应链以提供更快的交付选项,如送货上门、路边取货和在线购买、店内提货 [13] 行业前景 - Zacks零售-服装和鞋类行业目前在250多个Zacks行业中排名第135位,处于底部46% [15] - 该行业的Zacks行业排名(所有成员股票Zacks排名的平均值)表明前景黯淡。研究表明,排名前50%的Zacks行业的表现优于排名后50%的行业2倍以上 [16] - 该行业在Zacks排名行业中处于底部50%的原因是成分公司整体盈利前景不佳。自2024年2月以来,该行业的盈利预测已下调16.1% [17] 行业表现和估值 - 过去一年,Zacks零售-服装和鞋类行业的表现逊于Zacks零售-批发行业和Zacks S&P 500综合指数。该行业在此期间上涨16.3%,而S&P 500上涨30%,更广泛的零售-批发行业上涨30.6% [19] - 基于未来12个月的市盈率,该行业目前的市盈率为15.92倍,而S&P 500为22.28倍,零售-批发行业为23.94倍。过去五年,该行业的市盈率最高为36.25倍,最低为8.03倍,中位数为15.28倍 [20] 值得关注的公司 - Deckers:公司多元化的品牌组合、财务实力和战略增长举措使其成为有前途的投资。HOKA和UGG的强劲增长、平衡的渠道表现和成功的全球扩张,显示出公司战略执行良好。专注于创新、扩大消费者覆盖面和利用强劲的市场趋势,为其持续成功奠定了有利地位 [21] - Tapestry:公司专注于地理扩张、运营效率和数字创新,为持续增长奠定了坚实基础。其在全球市场的适应能力反映了其韧性和利用区域机会的能力。严格的成本管理与效率驱动的利润率改善相结合,支持可持续盈利,同时不牺牲创新或投资 [23] - Abercrombie & Fitch:通过整合数字和实体零售体验,提供无缝购物体验,推动更高的客户满意度和忠诚度。战略营销举措,特别是针对关键市场的定向活动,有效提升了品牌知名度和客户获取 [26] - Torrid Holdings:公司通过供应链增强和数字创新,有效满足不断变化的消费者偏好,已成为大码时尚市场的领导者。通过将高质量产品与无缝全渠道战略相结合,增强了客户参与度和忠诚度。专注于产品创新,特别是在牛仔和内衣方面,使其能够吸引更广泛的受众并保持市场趋势的领先地位 [29]
Tapestry Made The Right Decision To Go It Alone Without Capri Dragging It Down
Forbes· 2024-11-16 02:08
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 13: A Coach store is seen on September 13, 2024 in New York City. ... [+] Tapestry, the parent company of Coach and Michael Kors, faces an antitrust trial brought on after a Federal Trade Commission lawsuit that seeks to stop the merger of Tapestry and Capri. If the merger, which was announced over a year ago, is approved it would place six fashion brands under a single company. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)Getty ImagesTapestry announced it is canceling the acqui ...
Tapestry Confirms End of Merger Deal With Capri Holdings
ZACKS· 2024-11-16 00:55
关于Tapestry公司 - 与Capri Holdings Limited共同同意终止85亿美元的合并计划后Tapestry股票上涨12.8%达到57.81美元 [1] - 由于法律挑战在2025年2月10日最后期限前不太可能解决且FTC反对合并声称会减少竞争和提高消费者价格所以双方同意终止合并 [2] - 合并取消后强调公司未来增长的强劲地位计划加速有机业务增长并宣布增强股东回报计划 [3] - 董事会批准额外20亿美元的股票回购计划加上之前授权剩余的8亿美元本财年及以后共有28亿美元可用于股票回购 [4] - 2025财年将维持每股普通股1.40美元的年度股息率并致力于随收益增长提高股息以达到35% - 40%的目标派息率 [5] - 第一季度业绩反映出品牌实力和卓越运营支持战略增长举措通过创新产品等成功吸引消费者 [8] - 凭借独特品牌灵活平台和稳健现金流处于持续增长态势可追求加速有机增长和长期价值创造 [9] - 提高2025财年展望预计营收超过67.5亿美元较上一年按报告和固定汇率计算增长约1% - 2%欧洲按固定汇率计算有高两位数增长亚洲其他地区有中个位数增长 [10] - 过去三个月股票上涨43.2%而行业下降0.7% [11] 关于Capri Holdings公司 - 合并取消后计划调整战略通过加强营销修订零售布局和调整产品供应来发展品牌 [6] - 评估Michael Kors定价策略准备春季新营销计划未来两年翻新150家Michael Kors商店关闭75家业绩不佳的门店在Versace拓宽品牌价格范围增强电商能力 [7] 关于Deckers公司 - 目前为Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy)过去四个季度平均盈利惊喜为41.1%本财年销售额和盈利预计较上年分别增长13.6%和12.6% [12][13] 关于Abercrombie & Fitch公司 - 目前为Zacks Rank 2过去四个季度平均盈利惊喜为27.9%本财年销售额和盈利预计较上年分别增长13%和63.2% [13] 关于The Gap公司 - 目前为Zacks Rank 2过去四个季度平均盈利惊喜为142.8%本财年销售额和盈利预计较上年分别增长0.5%和31.5% [14]
S&P 500 Gains and Losses Today: Government Contractors Lose Ground, Tapestry Rises
Investopedia· 2024-11-15 06:10
美国股市整体表现 - 2024年11月14日周四标准普尔500指数下滑0.6% 纳斯达克和道琼斯指数也分别下跌0.6%和0.5% 原因是批发价格通胀数据高于预期以及美联储主席表态不急于降息[1][2][3] 政府承包商相关公司 - 政府承包商Leidos公司股票周四在标普500指数中跌幅最大 约13% 尽管三季度财报发布后的预订量表明其处于增长态势 但分析师指出其人工智能整合存在不确定性 且与退伍军人福利管理局项目的时间安排存在风险[4] - Amentum公司为美国政府及其盟友提供工程和技术解决方案 其股票下跌约11% 自10月初上市并加入标普500指数以来一直波动 虽获得4.9亿美元合同 但面临竞争环境挑战以及与近期合并相关的整合风险[5] 其他公司 - 超微电脑公司股票周四再跌11% 自上月宣布推迟发布最新财报且原审计机构安永辞职后一直受压 若不遵守纳斯达克报告规则可能被摘牌[6] - 奢侈品公司Tapestry股票上涨约13% 因其取消与Capri的合并计划 Capri股票上涨4.4%[7] - 赌场运营商永利度假村股票上涨约9% 因监管文件显示亿万富翁Tilman Fertitta将其持股比例提高到9.9%[8] - 太阳能公司Enphase Energy股票上涨5.3% First Solar股票上涨7% 此前因特朗普胜选承诺推翻拜登政府支持可再生能源的政策而受压 有分析师认为此次下跌是买入机会[9]
Tapestry Stock Could Extend Rally to 11-Years Highs
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2024-11-15 05:22
Tapestry Inc (NYSE:TPR) stock was last seen up 12.8%  to trade at $57.81, leading the S&P 500 Index (SPX) today. The retail stock, which is behind luxury brands Coach, Kate Spade, as well as Stuart Weitzman, is enjoying the Federal Trade Commission's (FTC) blockage of rival Capri Holding's (CPRI) $8.5 billion merger deal. TPR now boasts an 86.7% year-over-year lead, and is trading at its highest level since November 2013. Better yet, TPR's peak comes amid low implied volatility (IV) -- a combination that us ...
Coach Parent Tapestry Stock Soars, Capri Falls as Brands Call Off Merger
Investopedia· 2024-11-14 23:46
核心观点 - 拥有多个奢侈品牌的Tapestry和Capri Holdings取消合并计划后股票走势相反 Tapestry股票上涨Capri Holdings股票下跌 两公司分别调整战略[1][2] 关于Tapestry - 因合并面临的法律挑战不确定且难以在2025年2月10日前解决 所以取消合并[3] - 旗下拥有Coach和Kate Spade等品牌 取消合并后将重新分配资本 除之前授权的8亿美元股票回购外 额外增加20亿美元股票回购[4] - 上周财报超出预期并上调了整个财年的预期 股票周四上午飙升超过11%至57.19美元 自年初以来上涨了55%[5][6] 关于Capri Holdings - 旗下拥有Versace Michael Kors和Jimmy Choo等品牌 合并取消后计划改变战略 包括新的营销努力 改变零售布局 调整产品以更好满足消费者偏好[5] - 上周财报显示收入和利润低于去年 首席执行官称奢侈品需求正在软化[5] - 股票周四下滑1.3%至19.40美元 在2024年已下跌超过60%[6]
Should Value Investors Buy Tapestry (TPR) Stock?
ZACKS· 2024-11-14 23:45
Here at Zacks, we focus on our proven ranking system, which places an emphasis on earnings estimates and estimate revisions, to find winning stocks. But we also understand that investors develop their own strategies, so we are constantly looking at the latest trends in value, growth, and momentum to find strong companies for our readers.Considering these trends, value investing is clearly one of the most preferred ways to find strong stocks in any type of market. Value investors use tried-and-true metrics a ...
Tapestry (TPR) International Revenue Performance Explored
ZACKS· 2024-11-11 23:20
Did you analyze how Tapestry (TPR) fared in its international operations for the quarter ending September 2024? Given the widespread global presence of this maker of high-end shoes and handbags, scrutinizing the trends in international revenues becomes imperative to assess its financial strength and future growth possibilities.In the current global economy, which is more interconnected than ever, a company's success in penetrating international markets is crucial for its financial health and growth journey. ...
Tapestry's Q1 Earnings Beat, Gross Margin Expands, FY25 View Raised
ZACKS· 2024-11-09 01:16
Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) reported first-quarter fiscal 2025 results, which exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues and earnings despite a challenging global economic and consumer environment. The top line declined while the bottom line increased year over year. Driven by the first quarter results, Tapestry raised its fiscal 2025 outlook.Tapestry's first-quarter results reflected the company's brand strength and operational excellence that support its strategic growth initiatives. This performance hig ...
Why Tapestry (TPR) is a Top Growth Stock for the Long-Term
ZACKS· 2024-11-08 23:46
For new and old investors, taking full advantage of the stock market and investing with confidence are common goals. Zacks Premium provides lots of different ways to do both.The popular research service can help you become a smarter, more self-assured investor, giving you access to daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank, the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens.Zacks Premium also includes the Zacks Style Scores.What are the Zacks Style Scores?The Zacks Styl ...