全球半导体行业 - 2024年第三季度全球半导体销售额同比增长23.2%至1660亿美元 [1] - 美国与中国贸易紧张局势升级可能重塑2025年全球半导体格局 [1] - 美国总统当选人特朗普计划对中国进口商品征收高达60%的关税并在就职日额外征收10%的关税 [1] - 高盛预测特朗普实施这些全面关税的概率为90% [1] - 路透社调查显示到2025年初可能实施40%的关税 [1] - 贸易紧张局势升级可能引发美国通胀上升和GDP下降 [2] - 巴克莱估计拟议的关税和报复行动可能拖累标普500指数收益下降2.8% [2] - 中国控制着超过70%的半导体生产关键原材料 [11] - 中国最近禁止向美国出口某些稀有矿产 [11] 公司分析 高通 - 高通在中国智能手机市场面临显著风险 [5] - 公司的许可业务模式严重依赖中国制造商支付无线技术专利使用费 [5] - 来自中国本土玩家如海思的竞争加剧可能威胁高通的芯片销售和知识产权收入 [5] - 高通在移动处理器领域的主导地位可能成为负担 [5] - 公司2025财年每股收益共识估计在过去30天内上升0.3%至11.14美元 [14] AMD - AMD通过其扩展的数据中心业务和人工智能计划面临显著风险 [6] - 更严格的先进芯片出口控制可能危及公司最近的市场份额增长 [6] - 中国是AMD数据中心和AI加速器产品的关键增长市场 [6] - 公司2024年每股收益共识估计在过去30天内保持稳定在3.31美元 [16] 英特尔 - 英特尔作为芯片设计和制造商的独特地位带来复合风险 [17] - 公司雄心勃勃的晶圆厂扩张计划可能因对中国半导体制造设备销售的限制增加而复杂化 [17] - 英特尔重新获得数据中心市场份额的努力可能受阻 [17] - 公司2024年每股收益共识估计在过去30天内保持稳定在亏损9美分 [18] 美光科技 - 美光科技作为领先的内存芯片制造商面临中国报复的显著风险 [19] - 公司已经在中国某些安全相关应用中面临产品限制 [19] - 美光对中国DRAM和NAND闪存需求的严重依赖使其特别容易受到市场准入限制的影响 [19] - 公司2025财年每股收益共识估计在过去30天内下降20.8%至6.86美元 [8] ASML - ASML作为全球领先的半导体光刻设备制造商面临独特挑战 [9] - 公司向中国客户销售先进芯片制造设备的能力可能受到更严格的出口控制限制 [9] - ASML作为美国和中国的关键供应商处于地缘政治紧张局势的中心 [9] - 公司2024年每股收益共识估计在过去30天内下降0.5%至20.57美元 [21] 行业展望 - 2025年半导体公司必须在一个日益复杂的格局中导航 [10] - 成功可能取决于公司多样化供应链、保持技术领导地位和适应可能更加分散的全球半导体生态系统的能力 [10] - 报复措施可能特别影响利润率较低的行业 [10] - 贸易紧张局势的连锁效应可能影响这些公司的全球竞争力和创新能力 [23] - 随着中国客户越来越多地转向国内替代品，半导体公司可能需要加速技术开发并寻找新的增长市场 [23]

公司表现 - AMD股价在2024年表现不佳 年初达到历史高点210美元 但随后持续下跌 截至发稿时股价为12475美元 过去30天下跌12475美元 年内累计跌幅达998% [1][5] - 专家认为机构投资者将AMD股价压低至低水平 [4] 市场预期 - 华尔街分析师普遍认为AMD股价在未来12个月内将上涨30% [3] - 知名技术分析师Peter DiCarlo预测AMD股价将在2025年第一季度上涨30% 并认为120美元是重要支撑位 不会跌破 [7][8] - DiCarlo预计AMD股价将在未来3个月 6个月和12个月内呈现上升趋势 并认为股价将达到170美元后遇到阻力 [9] 技术分析 - DiCarlo指出在120美元价格点存在15亿美元的成交量支撑 认为这是重要支撑位 [8] - 从150美元跌至122美元的成交量较低 预计这些跌幅可能在两个月内完全收复 [8] - 近期AMD股价下跌被认为是机构投资者的止损猎杀行为 旨在触发大规模止损单 从而获得更有利的入场点 [9] 专家观点 - DiCarlo持有2025年2月到期的AMD看涨期权 但如果周线图收跌 他将平仓并购买更长期限的看涨期权 [9] - 专家认为AMD将在2025年重现特斯拉过去六个月的表现 [8]

Is there a cheaper AI stock than AMD (NASDAQ: AMD ) right now? Because if there is, I can't think of one. While Broadcom ( AVGO ), Nvidia ( NVDA ), and other AI chip darlings have provided excellentAre You Getting The Returns You Want? Invest alongside the Financial Prophet's All-Weather Portfolio (2024 75% return) and achieve optimal results in any market.The Daily Prophet Report provides crucial information before the opening bell rings each morning.Implement my Covered Call Dividend Plan and earn 50% on ...

Most investors in the technology sector have been focused on the trends and developments around artificial intelligence names, particularly those in the semiconductor industry responsible for building the infrastructure necessary to allow for these models to work and grow from the data they are fed. The darling in this industry is found in NVIDIA Co. NASDAQ: NVDA, but there are signs that a new contender might knock on the door of a new massive rally. While NVIDIA dominated the artificial intelligence and s ...

You would think that about half the stocks in the S&P 500 do better than average in any given year. One would expect a balanced distribution between superior and inferior market performers.The reality is that the exact percentage moves up and down in real time. And generally speaking, only around 20% of the constituents of the S&P 500 outperform the market average. That's why finding a winner is such a big deal.According to MacroTrends, the five best stocks of the past decade are Nvidia (NVDA 0.39%), AMD (A ...

Advanced Micro Devices AMD shares have underperformed Nasdaq 100 despite gaining AI market share this year. Should you buy or sell the stock as its technical analysis indicates a downtrend? Here’s what analysts are saying about the stock. What Happened: The technical analysis of daily moving averages indicates a bearish trend.The stock ended at $126.29 apiece on Tuesday. This was above its eight-day simple moving average of $123.48. However, as per Benzinga Pro data, its current stock price was lower than t ...

We're just days away from ringing in the new year, and the holiday break can be a good time for investors to review their portfolios and examine potential opportunities for 2025. Artificial intelligence (AI) was a dominant theme in the stock market during 2024, and tech giants are poised to spend a record amount of money developing the technology over the next 12 months.That will benefit suppliers of data center chips and hardware components, and Nvidia (NVDA 0.39%) is likely to remain one of the biggest po ...

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD ) is set for strong growth going forward as cloud service providers ((CSPs)) and enterprises gravitate towards inferencing AI models with MI300X GPUs. Management is estimating the TAM for AI accelerators to grow at 60% annually to $500bMichael Del Monte is a buy-side equity analyst with over 5 years of industry experience. Prior to working in the investment management industry, Michael spent over a decade in professional services working in industries that range from O&G, ...

AMD stock just hit a 52-week low.Following a sharp rebound in 2023, the capital markets have been scorching hot this year -- with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite gaining 24% and 30%, respectively, as of market close on Dec. 20.Of course, this year's hottest investment theme -- artificial intelligence (AI) -- remained unchanged from 2023. Within the AI realm, semiconductor stocks have generated some of the most lucrative returns over the last couple of years.But one stock that hasn't seemed to captivate inv ...

The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) in 2024 has reshaped our world in ways previously confined to science fiction. Virtual assistants now handle complex customer service queries with human-like understanding, while AI-powered chips process vast amounts of data at unprecedented speeds. These technological breakthroughs have caught Wall Street's attention, driving the S&P 500's (^GSPC 1.10%) remarkable bull run since October 2022.The economic impact of this AI revolution promises to be transformative. Pw ...