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Meta Platforms Inc-A:FY2024Q3业绩点评及业绩说明会纪要:三季度业绩略超市场预期,AI将驱动25年资本开支显著增长
华创证券· 2024-11-07 19:35
报告投资评级 - 报告未明确给出Meta Platforms(META)的投资评级[无] 报告核心观点 - Meta 2024年三季度业绩表现较好,总营收和净利润均有增长,且略超市场预期,收入增长主要归功于AI方面的投资[1][3] 按目录总结 一、Meta 2024年三季度业绩 (一)收入及盈利情况 - 2024Q3营业收入为405.89亿美元(YoY+19%,固定汇率下增长20%);净利润为156.88亿美元(YoY+35%);营业利润率43%(同比增长3pct,环比下滑4pct),净利率39.33%(去年同期34.43%,同比增长4.9pct);每股收益6.03美元(去年同期4.39美元,YoY+37%)[3] (二)支出情况 - 三季度总支出为232亿美元(YoY+14%,QoQ -4.13%),营业成本增长19%,研发费用增长21%,营销和销售费用下降2%,G&A下降10%;24Q3资本开支共92亿元;公司三季度完成105亿美元的债务发行,回购了89亿美元的A类普通股,并支付了13亿美元股息[4] (三)资本开支配置 - 公司将持续以长远眼光经营,对未来发展机会乐观;在现实实验室(Reality Labs)中调整发展路线图推动智能眼镜产品更早落地;在生成性人工智能领域,预计将大幅扩充AI基础设施并优先考虑其可替代性[5] 二、营收划分 (一) Family of Apps 1、收入情况 - 三季度Family of Apps总收入403亿美元(YoY+19%),其中广告收入399亿美元(YoY+19%,固定汇率下20%),其他收入约4.34亿美元(YoY+48%),主要得益于WhatsApp业务平台的业务消息收入增长;营业利润218亿美元,营业利润率54%[7] 2、支出情况 - 24Q3 Family of apps项目支出185亿美元(YoY+13%),约占公司整体支出80%[9] 3、增长分析 - 广告收入中在线商务垂直领域同比增长最快,其次是医疗保健、娱乐和媒体;欧洲和“其他地区”广告收入增长最为强劲,分别增长23%和21%,亚太地区增长18%,北美增长16%;从广告商地理分布来看,北美和欧洲总收入增长最为强劲,达到21%,“其他地区”增长17%,亚太地区增长最慢为15%(一季度和二季度亚太地区增速最高,分别为41%和28%)[10] 4、量价分析 - 三季度投放的广告展示总数增长7%,每个广告的平均价格增长了11%,展示数量增长主要由亚太地区和其他地区推动,价格增长由广告商需求增加所驱动,主要由于广告性能的改善[14] (二) Reality Labs 1、收入情况 - 三季度Reality Labs收入2.7亿美元(YoY+29%),增长主要受Quest头显销售的推动;Reality Labs的营业亏损为44亿美元(去年同期亏损37.42亿美元,同比扩大)[21] 2、支出情况 - 24Q3支出47亿美元(YoY+19%),主要由于人力成本费用增加以及Reality Labs基础设施成本[22] 三、公司业绩指引 (一) 2024Q4业绩指引 - 收入450 - 480亿美元(YoY+12.22%~19.70%),指引假设为外汇影响基本为中性,分析师预期460.9亿美元[24] (二) 2024全年业绩指引 - 预计2024年全年总支出960 - 980亿美元左右(上季度指引为960亿美元);预计2024年全年资本开支380 - 400亿美元(上个季度指引为370 - 400亿美元,再上个季度指引为350 - 400亿美元);公司预计2025年资本开支将有显著增长,因为公司将投资以支持人工智能研究和产品开发工作;预计2025年基础设施费用增长将显著加速,预计25年折旧和运营费用将会较高[25] 四、Q&A环节 - 涉及Meta AI的功能、商业化、与合作伙伴关系、人力成本投入等多方面问题,Meta AI进展迅速且处于初期阶段,目标是成为世界上使用人数最多的人工智能助手,目前月活跃用户已超过5亿;人工智能广泛适用于各种产品,在Meta的核心业务各方面都有价值,也将带来新服务类型;关于资本支出,预计第四季度将比第三季度有所增长,2025年基础设施投资将再次大幅增长;关于人工智能对员工生产力的影响,目前没有量化数据,公司在多方面探索提高效率;关于Reality Labs的损失情况,目前尚未分享2024年之后的预期,是长期战略重点之一;关于广告收入中非典型事件的影响,预计增长仍将受益于当前全球广告需求的健康发展;关于WhatsApp的发展状况及未来盈利能力,点击消息是目前关注的重点领域且增长强劲,付费消息业务本季度继续保持强劲增长[27][28][30][31][36][37][38]
A decade and $22 billion later, Meta's big bet on messaging is finally starting to pay off
Business Insider· 2024-11-07 18:00
文章核心观点 - Meta十年前以220亿美元收购WhatsApp如今开始有回报WhatsApp推动Meta非广告业务收入增长 [1][3] 关于Meta收购WhatsApp - Meta十年前花费220亿美元收购WhatsApp [1][3] 关于WhatsApp对Meta的作用 - WhatsApp是Meta非广告收入增长的主要驱动力在第三季度推动Meta旗下应用非广告收入同比增长48%主要由WhatsApp商业消息产品推动 [3][4] 关于Meta非广告收入情况 - 第三季度Meta非广告收入为4.34亿美元而广告总收入为399亿美元非广告收入虽占比小但增速超广告业务两倍 [6] 关于行业人士观点 - 分析师Mark Mahaney称Meta拥有两大消息应用其货币化仍处于早期阶段可能占总营收10%且增速高于社交媒体资产消息业务是Meta最有趣的未充分货币化资产 [7] 关于Meta其他消息业务情况 - Facebook负责人称DM内容分享同比增长100%除WhatsApp商业消息外Meta还从Messenger应用聊天标签中的赞助消息以及点击消息广告中获取广告收入 [8] - Meta的AI技术可助力消息业务发展包括扩展商业消息等 [9][10] - 更多用户选择在DM分享内容将消息业务货币化对Meta意义重大 [10] - Instagram负责人称分享将从基于信息流格式转向基于消息格式 [11] - Meta正在为Messenger应用添加更多功能如社区聊天等 [11] 关于Meta消息产品的差异 - Meta的每个消息产品在连接对象使用地点和货币化方式上存在明显差异产品未整合但部分功能平行开发 [12]
Meta Is Making Massive Artificial Intelligence (AI) Moves, but Is the Stock a Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2024-11-07 17:45
Meta has proven its earnings strength over time.Meta Platforms (META -0.07%) is probably best known for its social media apps. From Facebook and Messenger to WhatsApp and Instagram, these platforms are leaders worldwide.More than 3.2 billion people use at least one of them daily. This has helped the company grow revenue over time into the billions of dollars and even have enough earnings power to launch a dividend this year.But Meta isn't only focused on social media these days. The company's major investme ...
Facebook asks US supreme court to dismiss fraud suit over Cambridge Analytica scandal
The Guardian· 2024-11-07 02:31
The US supreme court grappled on Wednesday with a bid by Meta’s Facebook to scuttle a federal securities fraud lawsuit brought by shareholders who accused the social media platform of misleading them about the misuse of user data.The justices heard arguments in Facebook’s appeal of a lower court’s decision allowing the 2018 class action suit led by Amalgamated Bank to proceed. The suit seeks unspecified monetary damages in part to recoup the lost value of the Facebook stock held by the investors. It is one ...
Meta's Q3 Performance Solidifies Technical Path To $625
Seeking Alpha· 2024-11-06 22:00
Yiannis Zourmpanos, founder of Yiazou IQ, an AI-driven stock research platform providing all-in-one stock reports. Experience: Previously worked at Deloitte and KPMG in external/internal auditing and consulting. Education: Chartered Certified Accountant, Fellow Member of ACCA Global, with BSc and MSc degrees from U.K. business schools. Investment Style: We focus on GARP/Value stocks—high-quality, reasonably priced businesses with strong moats and significant growth potential. We prioritize fundamentals and ...
Should You Pick META Stock At $560?
Forbes· 2024-11-06 12:00
文章核心观点 - 公司第三季度收入和利润超出市场预期 [2][3] - 公司加大对人工智能的投资,预计未来资本支出将大幅增加 [4] - 公司股价今年已上涨60%,但估值水平已较历史高 [5][6] 公司财务表现 - 公司第三季度收入达406亿美元,同比增长19% [2] - 广告业务收入增长,推动了总收入的上涨 [2] - 公司利润率提升,每股收益达6.03美元,同比增长37% [3] - 公司预计第四季度收入将在450亿至480亿美元之间 [3] 公司战略与投资 - 公司加大对人工智能技术的投资,未来资本支出将大幅增加 [4] - 人工智能投资涉及数据中心等基础设施建设 [4] - 公司希望利用人工智能技术提高广告内容的针对性 [2] 股价表现与估值 - 公司股价今年已上涨60%,超过其他大型科技股 [5] - 但公司当前估值已较历史高位,市盈率达25倍 [5] - 公司估值上升主要得益于广告业务的强劲增长 [5] - 但持续大规模投资人工智能也存在一定风险 [5] - 公司股价波动较大,与标普500指数相比波动性更高 [6]
Meta: Absolute Moat As King Of Social Media - Reiterate Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2024-11-06 04:30
I am a full-time analyst interested in a wide range of stocks. With my unique insights and knowledge, I hope to provide other investors with a contrasting view of my portfolio, given my particular background.If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to me via a direct message on Seeking Alpha or leave a comment on one of my articles.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the ...
Meta to let US national security agencies and defense contractors use Llama AI
The Guardian· 2024-11-06 03:51
Meta announced Monday that it would allow US national security agencies and defense contractors to use its open-source artificial intelligence model, Llama. The announcement came days after Reuters reported an older version of Llama had been used by researchers to develop defense applications for the military wing of the Chinese government.Meta’s policies typically prohibit the use of its open-source large language model for “military, warfare, nuclear industries or applications, [and] espionage”. The compa ...
Meta extends political ad ban past Election Day
TechCrunch· 2024-11-06 00:40
Meta公司相关 - Meta宣布将政治广告限制延长至本周晚些时候但未明确具体解除日期 [1] - 10月29日前至少投放过一次的政治广告仍可在Meta平台投放但改动能力有限 [2] 行业相关 - 社交媒体在选举期间再次成为战场公司们试图避免2020年选举混乱重演当时不实信息疯狂传播 [3] - 科技裁员导致信任和安全团队受损生成式AI兴起促使用于传播虚假选举信息的AI深度伪造内容增加这给防止不实信息传播带来挑战 [3] - Meta不是唯一采取预防措施的社交巨头谷歌也宣布在美国暂停选举广告直至投票结束 [4] - 政治广告支出已接近10亿美元 [4]
Meta found to have exposed info on North Korean defectors to advertisers
TechCrunch· 2024-11-05 23:30
In Brief Meta has added another privacy sanction to its extensive collection: South Korea’s data protection agency fined the social media giant around $15.7 million for processing sensitive user data and passing it to advertisers without a proper legal basis, Reuters reports. Seoul’s Personal Information Protection Commission (PIPC) found Facebook’s parent collected information from about 980,000 users, on sensitive topics such as politics, sexuality and religion, without obtaining their permission. It then ...